UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men UMBC 1
  
UMBC                  
W-L: ( 7- 4) PR = 91.9543

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 215 A Drexel CAA ( 7- 7, 91.8) 9- 6 221 H Mt St Marys MAAC ( 4-10, 88.6) 12- 6 228 H Towson CAA ( 9- 5, 93.6) 10-17 308 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 3, 97.4) 8-14 315 H Vermont America East ( 5- 7, 91.5) 10- 7 322 A Albany America East ( 7- 8, 93.2) 13-12 329 A Bryant America East ( 9- 4, 92.9) 7-12 404 H Mass-Lowell America East ( 4- 9, 88.5) 14- 4 412 H Binghamton America East ( 5- 8, 91.2) 17- 7 419 A NJIT America East ( 1-11, 86.5) 19-11 424 N Holy Cross Patriot ( 4-11, 90.6) 7-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Drexel                  9- 6       3    -1    +      3.68
   221 H Mt St Marys            12- 6       6     4           0.80
   228 H Towson                 10-17      -7    -1    --    -4.18
   308 A Richmond                8-14      -6    -6           0.00
   315 H Vermont                10- 7       3     1           1.67
   322 A Albany                 13-12       1    -2    +      3.13
   329 A Bryant                  7-12      -5    -2    -     -3.15
   404 H Mass-Lowell            14- 4      10     4           0.68
   412 H Binghamton             17- 7      10     2    +      3.40
   419 A NJIT                   19-11       8     5           0.37
   424 N Holy Cross              7-15      -8     1    ---   -6.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 N Holy Cross              7-15      -8     1    ---   -6.40
   228 H Towson                 10-17      -7    -1    --    -4.18
   329 A Bryant                  7-12      -5    -2    -     -3.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Drexel                  9- 6       3    -1    +      3.68
   322 A Albany                 13-12       1    -2    +      3.13
   412 H Binghamton             17- 7      10     2    +      3.40

UMBC Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Force Air Force   Air Force
Albany UMBC UMBC  
Army Army insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Army
Bellarmine UMBC   UMBC
Binghamton UMBC UMBC  
Boston Univ Boston Univ insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Boston Univ
Brown Brown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brown
Bryant Bryant Bryant  
Bucknell Bucknell tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Bucknell
Canisius UMBC tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) UMBC
Cleveland St UMBC   UMBC
Colgate Colgate insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Colgate
Cornell Cornell insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Dartmouth
Delaware Delaware tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Delaware
Denver Denver   Denver
Detroit UMBC   UMBC
Drexel UMBC UMBC  
Duke Duke insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Duke
Fairfield Fairfield tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Fairfield
Georgetown Georgetown tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Georgetown
Hampton UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) UMBC
Harvard Harvard tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Harvard
High Point High Point tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) High Point
Hobart UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) UMBC
Hofstra Hofstra insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Hofstra
Holy Cross Holy Cross Holy Cross  
Iona UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UMBC
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
JHU JHU insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) JHU
Lafayette Lafayette tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Lafayette
Le Moyne UMBC   UMBC
Lehigh Lehigh insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lehigh
LIU UMBC tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) UMBC
Loyola Loyola insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Loyola
Manhattan UMBC insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) UMBC
Marist UMBC tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) UMBC
Marquette Marquette   Marquette
Maryland Maryland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Maryland
UMass UMass tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) UMass
Mass-Lowell UMBC UMBC  
Mercer UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UMBC
Mercyhurst UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) UMBC
Merrimack UMBC insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) UMBC
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Monmouth UMBC insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) UMBC
Mt St Marys UMBC UMBC  
Navy Navy Navy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
NJIT UMBC UMBC  
No Carolina No Carolina   No Carolina
Notre Dame Notre Dame   Notre Dame
Ohio State Ohio State insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ohio State
Penn Penn tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Penn
Penn State Penn State   Penn State
Princeton Princeton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Princeton
Providence Providence Providence   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Queens UMBC insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) UMBC
Quinnipiac UMBC tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) UMBC
Richmond Richmond Richmond  
Rob Morris UMBC tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UMBC
Rutgers Rutgers   Rutgers
Sacred Heart Sacred Heart insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Sacred Heart
Siena Siena tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Siena
St B'venture UMBC insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) UMBC
St Johns UMBC tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) UMBC
St Josephs St Josephs insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) St Josephs
Stony Brook UMBC UMBC   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Syracuse Syracuse insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Syracuse
Towson Towson Towson  
Utah Utah insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Utah
Vermont UMBC UMBC  
Villanova Villanova tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Villanova
Virginia Virginia insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Virginia
VMI UMBC   UMBC
Wagner UMBC UMBC   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Yale Yale insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Yale

PowerWise = 30


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Drexel          ( 7- 7, 91.8)     9- 6       -8.12      10.69       0.86         1.30            15.05
   0 H Mt St Marys     ( 4-10, 88.6)    12- 6      -11.29       7.53      -0.86         1.30             8.69
   0 H Towson          ( 9- 5, 93.6)    10-17       -6.27      12.54      -0.86         1.30            -9.29
   0 A Richmond        (13- 3, 97.4)     8-14       -2.52      16.29       0.86         1.30            -2.16
   0 H Vermont         ( 5- 7, 91.5)    10- 7       -8.42      10.39      -0.86         1.30            12.43
   0 A Albany          ( 7- 8, 93.2)    13-12       -6.67      12.14       0.86         1.30            16.95
   0 A Bryant          ( 9- 4, 92.9)     7-12       -6.96      11.86       0.86         1.30            -7.95
   0 H Mass-Lowell     ( 4- 9, 88.5)    14- 4      -11.40       7.41      -0.86         1.30             8.54
   0 H Binghamton      ( 5- 8, 91.2)    17- 7       -8.69      10.12      -0.86         1.30            12.08
   0 A NJIT            ( 1-11, 86.5)    19-11      -13.43       5.38       0.86         1.30             8.14
   0 N Holy Cross      ( 4-11, 90.6)     7-15       -9.34       9.47      -0.00         1.30           -12.18
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        50.28

winning pts = 81.8656 losing points = -31.5847

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------