UPDATED: 04-03-26 10:21 PDT

men UMBC 1
  
UMBC                  
W-L: ( 2- 6) PR = 88.8899

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Drexel CAA ( 5- 4, 92.2) 8-15 220 H Loyola PATRIOT ( 6- 4, 93.3) 8-12 224 A Mt St Marys MAAC ( 2- 7, 86.7) 7- 4 227 A Towson CAA ( 6- 3, 95.7) 10-14 307 A Hofstra CAA ( 1- 7, 88.6) 10-11 314 A Vermont AE ( 4- 4, 91.2) 5-10 321 H Albany AE ( 5- 4, 93.2) 6-10 328 H Bryant AE ( 3- 5, 89.1) 12-11 404 A UMassLowell AE ( 2- 6, 85.3) 411 A Binghamton AE ( 2- 6, 87.8) 418 H NJIT AE ( 3- 6, 89.4) 424 N Bucknell PATRIOT ( 6- 3, 92.3)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 H Drexel                  8-15      -7    -3    -     -2.47
   220 H Loyola                  8-12      -4    -4          -0.44
   224 A Mt St Marys             7- 4       3     1           1.66
   227 A Towson                 10-14      -4    -8           1.00
   307 A Hofstra                10-11      -1    -1          -0.44
   314 A Vermont                 5-10      -5    -3          -1.85
   321 H Albany                  6-10      -4    -4          -0.50
   328 H Bryant                 12-11       1     1           0.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 H Drexel                  8-15      -7    -3    -     -2.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

UMBC Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Force Air Force   Air Force
Albany Albany Albany  
Army Army   Army
Bellarmine Bellarmine   Bellarmine
Binghamton UMBC   UMBC
Boston Univ Boston Univ   Boston Univ
Brown Brown tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Brown
Bryant UMBC UMBC  
Bucknell Bucknell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bucknell
Canisius UMBC   UMBC
Cleveland State Cleveland State   Cleveland State
Colgate Colgate tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colgate
Cornell Cornell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dartmouth
Delaware Delaware   Delaware
Denver Denver   Denver
Detroit Mercy UMBC   UMBC
Drexel Drexel Drexel  
Duke Duke insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Duke
Fairfield Fairfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fairfield
Georgetown Georgetown Georgetown   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hampton UMBC   UMBC
Harvard Harvard   Harvard
High Point High Point   High Point
Hobart Hobart tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hobart
Hofstra Hofstra Hofstra  
Holy Cross Holy Cross insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Holy Cross
Iona Iona   Iona
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lafayette Lafayette tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Lafayette
Le Moyne UMBC   UMBC
Lehigh Lehigh insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lehigh
LIU LIU tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) LIU
Loyola Loyola Loyola  
Manhattan UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UMBC
Marist Marist tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Marist
Marquette Marquette   Marquette
Maryland Maryland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Maryland
Massachusetts Massachusetts Massachusetts   2- 0 vs 0- 2
UMassLowell UMBC tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UMBC
Mercer Mercer tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mercer
Mercyhurst UMBC   UMBC
Merrimack UMBC tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) UMBC
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Monmouth Monmouth insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Monmouth
Mt St Marys UMBC UMBC  
Navy Navy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Navy
NJIT NJIT tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) NJIT
North Carolina North Carolina   North Carolina
Notre Dame Notre Dame   Notre Dame
Ohio State Ohio State   Ohio State
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pennsylvania
Penn State Penn State   Penn State
Princeton Princeton   Princeton
Providence Providence tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Providence
Queens UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) UMBC
Quinnipiac UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) UMBC
Richmond Richmond   Richmond
Robert Morris Robert Morris   Robert Morris
Rutgers Rutgers insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rutgers
Sacred Heart Sacred Heart insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Sacred Heart
Siena Siena insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Siena
St Bonnies UMBC   UMBC
St Johns UMBC tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) UMBC
St Josephs St Josephs St Josephs   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Stony Brook Stony Brook insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Stony Brook
Syracuse Syracuse   Syracuse
Towson Towson Towson  
Utah Utah   Utah
Vermont Vermont Vermont  
Villanova Villanova insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Villanova
Virginia Virginia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Virginia
VMI UMBC   UMBC
Wagner UMBC   UMBC
Yale Yale   Yale

PowerWise = 17


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.81

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Drexel          ( 5- 4, 92.2)     8-15       -7.66      10.54      -0.82         1.10            -9.33
   0 H Loyola          ( 6- 4, 93.3)     8-12       -6.63      11.57      -0.82         1.10            -8.20
   0 A Mt St Marys     ( 2- 7, 86.7)     7- 4      -13.16       5.04       0.82         1.10             6.44
   0 A Towson          ( 6- 3, 95.7)    10-14       -4.24      13.96       0.82         1.10            -3.76
   0 A Hofstra         ( 1- 7, 88.6)    10-11      -11.26       6.94       0.82         1.10           -11.50
   0 A Vermont         ( 4- 4, 91.2)     5-10       -8.67       9.53       0.82         1.10            -8.65
   0 H Albany          ( 5- 4, 93.2)     6-10       -6.69      11.51      -0.82         1.10            -8.26
   0 H Bryant          ( 3- 5, 89.1)    12-11      -10.77       7.43      -0.82         1.10             7.28
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -35.97

winning pts = 13.7232 losing points = -49.6967

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------