UPDATED: 05-22-26 09:05 PDT

men UMBC 1
  
UMBC                  
W-L: ( 6- 7) PR = 91.0233

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H Drexel CAA ( 9- 6, 93.5) 8-15 220 H Loyola PATRIOT (10- 6, 94.9) 8-12 224 A Mt St Marys MAAC ( 3-10, 87.7) 7- 4 227 A Towson CAA (11- 4, 95.7) 10-14 307 A Hofstra CAA ( 4-10, 90.3) 10-11 314 A Vermont AE ( 7- 7, 92.4) 5-10 321 H Albany AE (11- 6, 93.9) 6-10 328 H Bryant AE ( 7- 6, 90.7) 12-11 404 A UMassLowell AE ( 2-10, 86.6) 18- 4 411 A Binghamton AE ( 2-11, 88.1) 14- 8 418 H NJIT AE ( 4- 9, 89.5) 16-11 424 N Bucknell PATRIOT ( 8- 7, 92.6) 9- 8 430 A Albany AE (11- 6, 93.9) 3-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 H Drexel                  8-15      -7    -2    -     -3.32
   220 H Loyola                  8-12      -4    -3          -0.85
   224 A Mt St Marys             7- 4       3     3           0.46
   227 A Towson                 10-14      -4    -5           1.00
   307 A Hofstra                10-11      -1     0          -1.03
   314 A Vermont                 5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.89
   321 H Albany                  6-10      -4    -2          -1.83
   328 H Bryant                 12-11       1     1          -0.07
   404 A UMassLowell            18- 4      14     4           1.34
   411 A Binghamton             14- 8       6     2    +      2.80
   418 H NJIT                   16-11       5     2    +      2.76
   424 N Bucknell                9- 8       1    -2    +      2.60
   430 A Albany                  3-14     -11    -4          -1.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 H Drexel                  8-15      -7    -2    -     -3.32
   314 A Vermont                 5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Binghamton             14- 8       6     2    +      2.80
   418 H NJIT                   16-11       5     2    +      2.76
   424 N Bucknell                9- 8       1    -2    +      2.60

UMBC PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Force Air Force   Air Force
Albany Albany Albany  
Army Army Army   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Bellarmine UMBC   UMBC
Binghamton UMBC UMBC  
Boston Univ Boston Univ tied -  1- 1 Boston Univ
Brown Brown tied -  2- 0 Brown
Bryant UMBC UMBC  
Bucknell UMBC UMBC  
Canisius UMBC UMBC   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Cleveland State UMBC   UMBC
Colgate UMBC UMBC   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Cornell Cornell Cornell   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Dartmouth Dartmouth Dartmouth   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Delaware Delaware tied -  1- 1 Delaware
Denver Denver   Denver
Detroit Mercy UMBC   UMBC
Drexel Drexel Drexel  
Duke Duke Duke   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Fairfield Fairfield tied -  0- 3 Fairfield
Georgetown Georgetown Georgetown   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hampton UMBC tied -  0- 3 UMBC
Harvard Harvard   Harvard
High Point High Point   High Point
Hobart UMBC UMBC   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Hofstra Hofstra Hofstra  
Holy Cross Holy Cross tied -  1- 2 Holy Cross
Iona UMBC UMBC   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Jacksonville Jacksonville tied -  1- 0 Jacksonville
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lafayette UMBC UMBC   4- 2 vs 3- 3
Le Moyne UMBC   UMBC
Lehigh Lehigh tied -  1- 1 Lehigh
LIU UMBC tied -  1- 0 UMBC
Loyola Loyola Loyola  
Manhattan UMBC UMBC   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Marist Marist tied -  2- 0 Marist
Marquette Marquette   Marquette
Maryland Maryland Maryland   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Massachusetts Massachusetts Massachusetts   4- 0 vs 2- 2
UMassLowell UMBC UMBC  
Mercer UMBC tied -  0- 1 UMBC
Mercyhurst UMBC UMBC   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Merrimack UMBC tied -  2- 0 UMBC
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Monmouth UMBC tied -  2- 3 UMBC
Mt St Marys UMBC UMBC  
Navy Navy tied -  1- 2 Navy
NJIT UMBC UMBC  
North Carolina North Carolina North Carolina   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Notre Dame Notre Dame   Notre Dame
Ohio State Ohio State   Ohio State
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Pennsylvania   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Penn State Penn State   Penn State
Princeton Princeton Princeton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Providence Providence tied -  1- 1 Providence
Queens UMBC UMBC   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Quinnipiac UMBC UMBC   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Richmond Richmond   Richmond
Robert Morris Robert Morris tied -  1- 0 Robert Morris
Rutgers Rutgers Rutgers   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Sacred Heart Sacred Heart Sacred Heart   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Siena Siena Siena   3- 1 vs 2- 2
St Bonnies UMBC UMBC   2- 0 vs 1- 1
St Johns UMBC UMBC   2- 1 vs 1- 2
St Josephs St Josephs St Josephs   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Stony Brook Stony Brook Stony Brook   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Syracuse Syracuse   Syracuse
Towson Towson Towson  
Utah Utah   Utah
Vermont Vermont Vermont  
Villanova Villanova Villanova   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Virginia Virginia Virginia   1- 1 vs 0- 2
VMI UMBC   UMBC
Wagner UMBC UMBC   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Yale Yale Yale   2- 0 vs 0- 2

PairWisePlus = 28


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Drexel          ( 9- 6, 93.5)     8-15       -6.45      10.68      -0.74         1.13            -8.12
   0 H Loyola          (10- 6, 94.9)     8-12       -4.99      12.15      -0.74         1.13            -6.47
   0 A Mt St Marys     ( 3-10, 87.7)     7- 4      -12.16       4.97       0.74         1.13             6.45
   0 A Towson          (11- 4, 95.7)    10-14       -4.24      12.90       0.74         1.13            -3.94
   0 A Hofstra         ( 4-10, 90.3)    10-11       -9.65       7.48       0.74         1.13           -10.05
   0 A Vermont         ( 7- 7, 92.4)     5-10       -7.51       9.62       0.74         1.13            -7.64
   0 H Albany          (11- 6, 93.9)     6-10       -5.97      11.17      -0.74         1.13            -7.57
   0 H Bryant          ( 7- 6, 90.7)    12-11       -9.20       7.93      -0.74         1.13             8.11
   0 A UMassLowell     ( 2-10, 86.6)    18- 4      -13.28       3.85       0.74         1.13             5.18
   0 A Binghamton      ( 2-11, 88.1)    14- 8      -11.82       5.31       0.74         1.13             6.83
   0 H NJIT            ( 4- 9, 89.5)    16-11      -10.37       6.76      -0.74         1.13             6.79
   0 N Bucknell        ( 8- 7, 92.6)     9- 8       -7.28       9.85      -0.00         1.13            11.12
   0 A Albany          (11- 6, 93.9)     3-14       -5.97      11.17       0.74         1.13            -5.90
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -5.21

winning pts = 44.4844 losing points = -49.6905

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------